USTC J9 Peak Season Call (4 June)
June 04, 2020
This week’s installment of the USTRANSCOM J9 Peak Season call is summarized below.
The weekly slide data was covered by J9 with very few questions resulting from the review.
- On slide 2, Pickup Summary, J9 mentioned the previous week (week 22) is historically one of the busiest weeks of the year for pickups; with this year obviously being an outlier. Week 22 currently reflects under 25% of the normal three year average for pickups, however that number will rise as data is updated in DPS. Weeks 20 and 21 show 40 and 45% of the average pickups respectively.
- The overall pickups since the start of the Stop Movement Order are 33% of the three year average. The upper right hand data on slide two shows that members counseled and shipments awarded for week 22 approached the three year average for that week. J9 again emphasized this is a signal to industry that the workload is coming, and industry should prepare for volumes near the three year average in the coming weeks.
- Slide 3 reflects JPPSO “no-capacity” reports. There are no major capacity issues at this time. Some issues from the previous week were baggage related and were likely reflective of a system issue; but J9 doesn’t expect to see the same thing moving forward.
- Slide 8, Short Fuse data in the upper right hand corner now reflects May data. This year’s May short fuse numbers were higher than past years, likely reflective of the uncertainty brought on by the Stop Movement order. The short fuse awards for week 22 are lower than previous years due to having less shipments; but J9 expects to see the short fuse numbers grow as refusals and volume increases.
- Slide 11 reflects Code 2 data. Week 22 reflects about 9% of shipments moving Code 2; but overall about 7% during the peak thus far. The Army continues to push Code 2 usage as seen by their rise last week to near 14% by Army JPPSOs.
- Peak season Code 2 awards are higher this year than the past three years, as seen on slide 12.
- Slide 13 shows refusals rising slightly.
- Slide 15’s 24-week forecast shows that starting in week 27, shipment projections are greater than 100% of the 2019 forecast based on the same data this time last year all the way out to about week 34. Of course these numbers adjust each week, but does show a growing wave of shipments similar to the 2019 projections for this same time last year.
J9 was asked what impact the change from a date-based stop movement order, to a conditions-based stop movement order would have on the 10% adjustment (surcharge) for shipments? J9 acknowledged they were working on the details of that guidance and would provide it as soon as it was finalized; but implied that the 10% adjustment would most likely be date-based; and it wouldn’t be surprising if that date coincides with the previous Stop Movement Order of 30 June.
When asked about when updated guidance on mask use would be provided in the FAQs on move.mil/sme, J9 stated it will be available soon; but they had made changes to their guidance based on industry feedback on the Tuesday Stop Movement call, and wanted to make sure everything was set before issuing new FAQs on the Health Protocols. Seemingly counter to what was stated on Tuesday, J9 hinted that the new mask policy would be similar to the smoking policy, and that movers could remove their masks if they were 50 ft from the member’s residence. Similar to what was briefed Tuesday, they added movers would also have to be 10 ft from the member’s personal property; and 10 ft from any equipment used to go in/out of the member’s residence. This guidance is not yet finalized, so some changes could still be made.
Asked again about whether pre-approvals were required for auto-reweighs, J9 reiterated that no pre-approvals were required; those reweighs are meant to be “automatic”; and industry was told to disregard information covered on the Spring PPF slides about auto-reweighs because that information is no longer valid.
The Navy relayed a reminder to drivers that they cannot carry a concealed weapon onto an installation. A recent senior officer move was delayed due to a driver with a concealed weapon, so ensure drivers and crews know they will not get on installation with a concealed carry firearm; and attempting to do it can cause delays and disrupt packouts, pickups and deliveries.
J9 was asked if DoD was using John’s Hopkins data on determining if an installation was “green” in the new conditions-based stop movement policy. COL Gipson stated DoD was developing a system to provide shipping offices with up-to-date information on locations and their status. It is not yet available; but when completed it would most likely be accessed via a DoD CAC-enabled link. Therefore, as of now, industry will not have access to this information via the system.